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Author, Andrew Sheldon

Global Mining Investing is a reference eBook to teach investors how to think and act as investors with a underlying theme of managing risk. The book touches on a huge amount of content which heavily relies on knowledge that can only be obtained through experience...The text was engaging, as I knew the valuable outcome was to be a better thinker and investor.

While some books (such as Coulson’s An Insider’s Guide to the Mining Sector) focus on one particular commodity this book (Global Mining Investing) attempts (and does well) to cover all types of mining and commodities.

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Tuesday, August 16, 2005

Indonesian Rupiah - up on growth

Ever since the current president of Indonesia was elected, I have been very excited by Indonesia`s prospects. The reasons are thus:
  1. Leadership: The values and leadership style of PM Dr Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono are conducive to stable government. The PM is US-educated so there is some hope that he will embrace western values. He has also been concillatory with US and Australian governments.
  2. Tourism: The tourism industry was hit by terrorism, and less so by the tsunami. It appears that Indonesian police have had greater success rooting out terrorism than the Philippines.
  3. Values: Indonesia has long been divided by different values (religions) and ethnic groups that have fought over control of resources > mining revenues. This and corruption has undermined the rule of law.
  4. Infrastructure: there is some hope that Indonesia will be able to develop basic infrastructure to service industry.
  5. Industry: Certainly the Indonesian coal & minerals industries will benefit from renewed investment. Oil & gas exploration and development also will boost national income since indonesia is a net energy exporter.
  6. Civil Unrest: The government is close to negotiating a peace agreement with the Free Aceh Movement in North Sumatra. This region controls a significant share of the country`s oil production capacity, so will aid further investment.
  7. Trade: Exports are up 30% in the last year since Dr Y`s election.

There is every reason to believe that Indonesians will be less prone to embracing terrorism if their prospects for employment are raised. but it only takes 1 to set a bomb. Given the stronger terms of trade of Indonesia (from net energy exports) and its stronger leadership, it seems to have less upside than the Philippines peso, but represents a safer bet.

- Andrew Sheldon

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